What is CAPM?
The Capital Asset
Pricing Model (CAPM) is a model that describes the relationship between
the expected return and risk of investing in a security. It shows that the
expected return on a security is equal to the risk-free return plus a risk premium, which is based on the beta of
that security. Below is an illustration of the CAPM concept.
The CAPM Formula
Problems with Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
By extension, once you've calculated the investment's fair value you can then compare it to its market price. If your price estimate is higher than the market's, you could consider the stock a bargain. If your price estimate is lower, you could consider the stock to be overvalued.
Problems with Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
By extension, once you've calculated the investment's fair value you can then compare it to its market price. If your price estimate is higher than the market's, you could consider the stock a bargain. If your price estimate is lower, you could consider the stock to be overvalued.
Expected Return = Risk-Free Rate + Beta (Market Return – Risk-Free Rate)
For example, if the risk free rate is 5%, the market return is 10%, and the stock’s beta is 2, then the expected return on the stock would be 15%.
15% = 5% + 2 (10% – 5%)
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is based on assumptions. First, the model assumes that a riskier asset will yield a higher return. But this is not necessarily true. A risky asset could decline in value. Second, historical data determines beta. The model assumes this historical data an accurate predictor of future results. But the asset’s future volatility may not necessarily reflect its past volatility.
Why it
matters:
CAPM is most often used to determine what the fair price of
an investment should be. When you calculate the risky asset's rate of return using CAPM, that rate can then be used to
discount the investment's future cash flows
to their present value and thus arrive at the investment's fair value.
No comments:
Post a Comment