Definition
In finance, valuation is a process of
determining the fair market value of an asset. Equity valuation
therefore
refers to the process of determining the fair market value of equity
securities.
Throughout finance, one rule always holds true. The general belief
is that the value of any asset or security
is exactly equal to the discounted
present value of all the cash flows that can be derived from it in future
periods.
Using this principle, one can easily value securities like debt.
This is because they have a finite existence.
The cash flows derived from them
can be easily predicted. However equity
valuation is not so simple.
Equity represents a partnership in the business. As
such, it represents an attempt to value cash flows which are uncertain and
unpredictable.
Investors, stand to gain a
lot of money if they are able to correctly identify this difference. The second
richest person in the world, Warren Buffett has made his fortune correcting and
applying the art of equity
valuation. In fact, the theory of equity valuation
has been heavily influenced by the work of Warren Buffett
and his mentor.
Inputs in the Equity Valuation Process
The true value of
any financial asset is thought to be a
good indicator of how
that asset will do in the long run. In equity markets, a
financial asset with a
relatively high intrinsic value is expected to command a
high price, and a
financial asset with a relatively low intrinsic value is expected to
command a low price.
Distortions can take
place in the short run, i.e., financial assets with relatively low
intrinsic
value might command a high price and vice-a-versa, but such distortions
are
expected to disappear over time. In the long run, the true value of a stock
(and thereby the market price of that stock) depends only on the fundamental
factors affecting the stock. The factors can be broadly classified into four
categories.
1. Macroeconomic variables
2. Management of the business
3. Financial health of the business
4. Profits of the business
Individual Investors
Individual investors make up
the vast majority of stock market investors, aided by the growing wealth of
households in the 20th century
and a rise in the average education level of households.
In recent times, many
developed nations in the world have moved away from a defined benefit approach
to retirement funding and towards a defined contribution approach to retirement
funding. The move has further increased the number of individual stock market
investors.
Under a defined benefit
approach to pension management, employers commit to paying their staff a set
amount in retirement benefits. In order to meet these needs, employers will
invest their employees’ pension funds deposits.
Under a defined contribution
approach, employers contribute a certain amount in each period to every
employee’s pension account. The employees are then encouraged to invest the
money in various financial markets (most commonly government fixed income
instruments and equity market indices).
Institutional Investors
Institutional investors are
economic entities that aggregate capital and invest in financial markets on
behalf of a set of smaller economic entities. For example, private pension funds aggregate
capital from millions of individuals and then invest the aggregated capital in
financial markets.
Institutional investors can
take advantage of economies of scale and lower administrative fees compared to
individual investors. Such investors include hedge funds, pension funds, banks,
and governments.
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How to select stocks
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